Inside this issue

“I believe the depth and range of the presentations was the best we’ve ever had,” comments Rich Donnell, Co-Chairman of the event and Editor-in-Chief of Wood Bioenergy magazine, which served as co-host along with Georgia Research Institute. The theme of the conference going in was “Energy That Works,” but Donnell added that it could have been “On The Ground & InThe Air,” referencing speeches on timberlands and aviation fuel, with a healthy dose of wood pellets and heat energy in the mix.

“The speakers did a great job of putting their fingers on the pulse of where the wood bioenergy industry is today and where it will go from here,” Donnell added. Staying Focused Leading off the first morning keynoters session, Fram Renewable Fuels President Harold Arnold, as he always has, sprinkled in some reality: “Biomass has\ a future but it’s not all rosy.” Arnold is one of the pioneers of industrial wood pellets in the U.S., with Fram building its first pellet facility, Appling County Pellets, in 2007 in Baxley, Ga. Fram now operates three pellet facilities, including a recently modernized one, Hazlehurst Wood Pellets in Georgia.

Fram noted the benefits of wood pellets—sizing and drying wood fiber, changing the energy density, improving the transportability. And he also emphasized the factors that influence pellet consumption—weather, intermittent renewables, natural gas prices, worldwide energy crisis.

He said that upon Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022 and ensuing sanctions, which lessened Russia’s supply of gas to European countries, natural gas and pellets for heating prices skyrocketed, while industrial pellets production jumped, only to see a warm winter, reduced demand and a pellet price nosedive. Meanwhile inflation caused pelleting costs to rise 30%, parts increased 100% in some cases, lead times increased on critical parts.

It didn’t get any better in 2023, with reduced generation and lessened demand, costs still not deflating and prices tanking. Meanwhile transportation bottlenecks surfaced in the Panama Canal and Suez Canal/Red Sea. Addressing 2024, Arnold said most producers are suffering economically, spot prices continue to slide, supply and demand are out of balance with warehouses full. Nevertheless, Arnold said, the industry remains eternally, and amazingly, optimistic, with new projects and new expansions announced.

Citing information provided by renown consultant William Strauss of FutureMetrics, Arnold said industrial pellet fuel markets could be nearly 55 million metric tons per year come 2030. Arnold pointed to good and growing markets in Japan and Korea, and a potential market in Taiwan. Another slide from FutureMetrics showed a potential global pellet demand (industrial and heating) of 85 million metric tons in 2030 and a possible shortfall of 35 million metric tons after production capacity.

Arnold briefly touched on new markets, but noted those opportunities are yet to be realized. As for now, Arnold said, “Producers are in trouble. Change is onits way.”